Yoshinori Nakagawa

This paper aims to establish a method to support designs of policies for prevailing anti-seismic retrofitting of wooden fragile houses by local governments. Specifically, we conduct the following three items. First, we list up and structure the criteria (or psychological factors) that individuals keep in mind when they decider their own attitudes toward seismic retrofitting. In order to neglect comprehensive items that do not overlap with each other, we exclude individual attributes and indirect factors. Second, based on the established structure, we propose a framework to rationalize the change in the distribution of the degree to which people intend to adopt seismic retrofitting. This enables us to investigate effective ways of combining different approaches toward the ultimate goal of prevailing retrofitting. Third, we investigate the most effective ways of embodying each of the approaches by identifying relevant demographic and personality variables.

A number of various policy, measures and administrative works exist in local governments in order to provide public services effectively for the resident's demand. In addition, they owe the obligation which makes such a series of measure system to visible and makes it public to the resident as accountability. This research not only proposes the methodology to plan policy and measures in the local governments and to achieve set strategic target effectively but aims to construct the administrative management system by making good use of the tool which called problem structuring, logic model and so on.

This paper proposes a method to generate future scenarios with an analysis on the reciprocal expectation of stakeholders and applies it to a case of regional transport planning. Our method covers both macroscopic uncertainty and microscopic uncertainty. The macroscopic uncertainty originates from five factors: natural, political, economics, social and technological, whereas the microscopic uncertainty originates from interrelations among stakeholders. We demonstrate an empirical application of the proposed method to a case of regional transport planning of the Tokyo Metropolitan Area.

This paper aims to propose a practical methodology of problem identification and structuring for regional transport policy. The strategic regional transport planning of the Kanto Region is used as the case study. Ten stakeholders are selected including central/local governments and transport operators. Then the interview-based discussions are conducted with them. The cognitive maps of stakeholders are integrated into the structure of transport problems in the region. After the main factors and drivers of the problems are abstracted from the maps, the problematic issues are analyzed based on the problem structure. Finally, the differences of problem perceptions and interests among stakeholders and their political relationship are discussed.